"What if" FIFA Confederations Cup version

Discussion in 'The Beautiful Game' started by IceBlood34, May 24, 2024.

  1. IceBlood34

    IceBlood34 Member

    Montpellier HSC
    France
    Jan 27, 2021
    Hi everyone,
    I've been looking into the history of the Confederations Cup. Although widely criticized, and described as “useless” by many, I thought this tournament was quite interesting, and allowed us to observe teams from all over the world, often a year before the World Cup.
    For a reminder of the facts, if we stick strictly to that, the competition, formerly known as the King Fahd Cup, was considered to be the ancestor of the Confederations Cup, and was created in 1992, for two editions, before being taken over by FIFA in 1997. It was abolished in 2017, no doubt due to its disinterestedness and FIFA's desire to phagocitate everything, preferring instead to create a FIFA Club World Cup.

    For a reminder of the participating teams for each FIFA Confederations Cup:
    1992: Argentina (winner, CONMEBOL), Saudi Arabia (AFC and hosts), USA (CONCACAF), Ivory Coast (CAF)

    1995: Denmark (winner, UEFA), Argentina (CONMEBOL), Mexico (CONCACAF), Nigeria (CAF), Saudi Arabia (host), Japan (AFC)

    1997: Brazil (winner, World Cup), Uruguay (CONMEBOL), Mexico (CONCACAF), South Africa (CAF), Czech Republic (UEFA, runner-up), Australia (OFC), UAE (AFC, runner-sups), Saudi Arabia (AFC, host)

    1999: Mexico (winner, CONCACAF), Germany (UEFA), Saudi Arabia (AFC), Bolivia (CONMEBOL, runner-up), Egypt (CAF), USA (CONCACAF), Brazil (World Cup, CONMEBOL), New Zealand (OFC)

    2001: France (winner, World Cup, UEFA), Japan (AFC, co-host), South Korea (co-host), Brazil (CONMEBOL), Cameroon (CAF), Canadan (CONCACAF), Australia (OFC), Mexico (FIFA Confederations Cup 99' winner)

    2003: France (winner, UEFA), Brazil (World Cup), Japan (AFC); Colombia (CONMEBOL), USA (CONCACAF), Cameroon (CAF), Turkey (best place at WC 2002 as UEFA nation after Germany)

    2005: Brazil (winner, World Cup), Germany (host), Mexico (CONCACAF), Tunisia (CAF), Greece (UEFA), Argentina (CONMEBOL runner-up), Japan (AFC), Australia (OFC)

    2009: Brazil (winner, CONMEBOL), South Africa (host), Italy (World Cup), USA (CONCACAF), Iraq (AFC), Egypt (CAF), Spain (UEFA), New Zealand (OFC)

    2013: Brazil (winner, host), Spain (World Cup), Japan (AFC), Mexico (CONCACAF), Uruguay (CONMEBOL), Tahiti (OFC), Italy (UEFA runner-up), Nigeria (CAF)

    2017: Germany (winner, World Cup), Russia (host), Australia (AFC), Chile (CONMEBOL), Mexico (CONCACAF), New Zealand (OFC), Portugal (UEFA), Cameroon (CAF)

    The Artemio Franchi Cup can also be considered a precursor to the FIFA Confederations, with only CONMEBOL and UEFA representatives represented in a single match:
    1985: France (winner) vs. Uruguay
    1993: Argentina (winner) vs Denmark
    2022: Argentina (winner) vs Italy

    The Taça das Nações is also a competition that could act as a sort of mini Confederations Cup, with only one edition in 1964, with emblematic teams like Brazil, Argentina (winner), England and Portugal.

    The interest of this thread is to try to transcribe the FIFA Confederations Cup, if it had existed since the start of the FIFA World Cup.
    Before 1930, only the Copa America existed as a continental competition for a confederation, furthermore the Olympic Games could serve as a "representation" of the FIFA Confederations Cup, although the absence of South American countries before 1924 is a debate.

    I will therefore focus on the hypothetical rewriting of the Confederations Cup, considering that the competition takes place every 4 years, and one year before an edition of the FIFA World Cup.
    Which gives us 1933, 1937, 1941, 1953, 1957, 1961, 1965, 1969, 1973, 1977, 1981, 1985, 1989, 1993, and we can also put back 2021-22.
    I will try each time to take as participants the winner of the previous World Cup, the runner-up, the winner of the Copa America, the host of the next World Cup, as well as the best teams from the different confederations during the earlier editions of the World Cup.
    Once the different continental competitions are in place, I will integrate the winners of the continental cups, always the winner of the previous edition of the World Cup, the host of the future World Cup. A maximum total of 8 teams will be chosen.
    Please, if you have any ideas or corrections for me, especially regarding the years preceding the appearance of the UEFA Euro, CAN, AFC Cup, CONCACAF Gold Cup and OFC Nations Cup, let me know. It is a collaborative project.
    Then we can discuss the potential winners of each edition!

    Hope this thread will be interesting for you!

    IceBlood34
     
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  2. IceBlood34

    IceBlood34 Member

    Montpellier HSC
    France
    Jan 27, 2021
    Here is the list of potential participants for all reworked editions of the FIFA Confederations Cup:

    1933: Uruguay (WC winner), Argentina (WC runner-up and CA 29 champions), USA (best CONCACAF team in WC 30), Yugoslavia (best European team in WC 30'), Italy (host), Austria (winner of Central European International Cup 31-32), Egypt (only African team during that time, withdrew for WC 30), Wales (winner British Home Championship 32-33)

    1937: Italy (WC winner and CEIC 33-35 winner), Argentina (CA 37 winner), Czechoslovakia (WC 34' runner-up), Austria (CEIC 33-35 runner-up), France (host), USA (best CONCACAF team at WC 34), Egypt (CAF team at WC 34), Wales (winner BHC 36-37)

    1941: Italy (WC winner), Argentina (CA 41 winner), Hungary (winner of CEIC 36-38 until interruption), Sweden (best UEFA team after Italy and Hungary in WC 38), Brazil (host), Cuba (CONCACAF team qualified for WC 38), Dutch East Indies/Indonesia (AFC team qualified in WC 38), England (winner BHC 38-39)

    1953: Uruguay (WC winner), Paraguay (CA53 winner), Hungary (winner CEIC 48-53), England (winner BHC 52-53), Switzerland (host), USA (best CONCACAF team in WC 50), Brazil (WC runner-up), India (AFC team qualified for WC 50 even if withdrew)

    1957: West Germany (WC winner), England (winner BHC 56-57), Argentina (CA 57 winner), Hungary (WC runner-up), Sweden (host), Mexico (CONCACAF team qualified in WC 54), Egypt (CAN 57 winner), South Korea (AFC Cup 56 winner)

    1961: Brazil (WC winner), Soviet Union (Euro 60 winner), Egypt (CAN 59 winner), South Korea (AFC Cup 60 winner), Chile (host), Mexico (CONCACAF team qualified in WC 58), Sweden (WC 58 runner-up), Argentina (CA59 winner)

    1965: Brazil (WC winner), Spain (Euro64 winner), Bolivia (CA 63 winner), Ghana (CAN 63), England (host), Israel (AFC cup 64 winner), Mexico (CONCACAF team qualified in WC 62), Czechoslovakia (WC runner-up)

    1969: England (WC winner), Uruguay (CA67 winner), Republic Democratic of Congo (CAN 68 winner), Italy (Euro 68 winner), Mexico (host), Iran (AFC cup 68 winner), Western Germany (WC runner-up), North Korea (only AFC team qualified for WC 66)

    1973: Brazil (WC winner), Congo Brazzaville (CAN 72 winner), West-Germany (Euro 72 and host), Italy (WC runner-up), Iran (AFC cup 72 winner), Mexico (best CONCACAF team in WC 70), Uruguay (best CONMEBOL team after Brazil in WC 70), New Zealand (OFC Cup 73 winner)

    1977: West Germany (WC winner), Czechoslovakia (Euro 76 winner), Peru (CA 75 winner), Iran (AFC cup 76 winner), Argentina (host), Haiti (only CONCACAF team qualified for WC 74), Australia (only OFC team qualified for WC 74), Morocco (CAN 76 winner)

    1981: Argentina (WC winner), West Germany (Euro 80 winner), Australia (OFC Cup 80 winner), Paraguay (CA 79 winner), Nigeria (CAN 80 winner), Spain (host), Kuwait (AFC Cup 80 winner), Mexico (only CONCACAF team qualified for WC 78)

    1985: Italy (WC winner), France (Euro 84 winner), Uruguay (CA 83 winner), Mexico (host), New Zealand (best OFC team qualified for WC 82), Cameroon (CAN 84 winner), Saudi Arabia (AFC Cup 84), Honduras (best CONCACAF team in WC 82)

    1989: Argentina (WC winner), Netherlands (Euro 88 winner), Uruguay (CA 87 winner), Italy (host), Mexico (best CONCACAF team in WC 86), Cameroon (CAN 88 winner), Saudi Arabia (AFC Cup 88 winner), Australia (best OFC team who through WC 86 qualifiers, lost in playoffs)

    1993(including correct format): West Germany (WC winner), Denmark (Euro 92 winner), Argentina (CA 91 winner), Ivory Coast (CAN 92 winner), Japan (AFC Cup 92 winner), USA (host), Honduras (CONCACAF Gold Cup 91 runner-up), Australia (best OFC team through OFC WC 90 qualifiers, if we exempt Israel, also winner of Trans-Tasman Cup 91)

    1997: current teams, exempt Germany (Euro 96 winner) instead of Czech Republic, France (host) should replace UAE.
    Brazil (World Cup), Uruguay (CONMEBOL), Mexico (CONCACAF), South Africa (CAF), Germany (UEFA), Australia (OFC), France (host), Saudi Arabia (AFC)

    2001: current teams + Italy (Euro 2000 runner-up) instead of Mexico.
    France (World Cup, UEFA), Japan (AFC, co-host), South Korea (co-host), Brazil (CONMEBOL), Cameroon (CAF), Canadan (CONCACAF), Australia (OFC), Italy (Euro 2000 runner-up)

    2021-2022: France (WC winner), Argentina (CA 21 winner), Italy (Euro 21 winner), Senegal (CAN 21 winner), Japan (AFC Cup 21 runner-up), Qatar (AFC cup 21 winner and host), USA (CONCACAF Gold Cup 21 winner), New Zealand (best OFC team through WC 2018 qualifiers)


    Can you give us your opinions on the potential winners for each edition? ;)
     
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  3. IceBlood34

    IceBlood34 Member

    Montpellier HSC
    France
    Jan 27, 2021
    I will try to make an attempt to designate the potential winners for each edition, although I do not have 1/10th of the knowledge of some on the forum:

    1933: Based on the results of the 1934 World Cup, although Uruguay were absent in protest from 1930, it seemed that their golden age had passed. Argentina comes out in the first match against Sweden. Not knowing the real level of Wales, I would say that the competition is between Italy and Austria (including a victory in WC34 for the Italians. Winner for me: Italy or Austria

    1937: It is difficult to know the level of the Argentinians given that they did not participate in the following World Cup (WC 1938). Italy is once again the favorite, with Austria once again potentially not far behind. The other competitors would not have made up for it. Without a doubt about a victory for Italy, with Austria and Argentina close.

    1941: If we move away from the Second World War context, it is likely that Argentina was able to put an end to the hegemony of the Italians, with players like Moreno, Sastre, or even Pedernera presenting Argentina as a strong favorite

    1953: With the Hungarian team, at the top of its game, I think the Hungarians would have won the trophy, with little competition I think

    1957: This is perhaps the tightest edition. Given the performance of Western Germany during the 1958 WC edition, we could estimate that they could win it, it is possible that certain teams would also have bothered the world champions, with the English or the Hungarians.

    1961: Brazil were undoubtedly a good team and it is likely that with Pelé they would have won. Do not underestimate teams like England, Soviet Union or Chile at home, but Brazil would undoubtedly have won

    1965: As explained by @Vegan10 , Brazil crushed England the year before during the Taça das Nações (5-1). It's difficult to estimate the level a year later, but Brazil's friendlies this year are very good against the Europeans. It is possible that the English, at home, could have won, as they did later, at the 1966 World Cup, but Brazil was probably better. It's quite difficult, especially since Spain is also a good team at the time with Luis Suares Miramontes. Brazil is still the favorite in my mind.

    1969: Without doubt the tightest competition. We can estimate that Italy, Uruguay, Western Germany or even England would have had a chance of winning it. I still think that the Italians would have shown their difference.

    1973: It would have been a match between Brazil and Western Germany, I think the Germans, with Gerd Muller and Beckenbauer in the lead might have won it

    1977: It is likely that the Argentines would have won at home, with the West German champions close behind them.

    1981: Given the dynamics displayed by the teams in 1982, it is a safe bet that the West Germans would undoubtedly have won this edition.

    1985: It is very likely, like the Artemio Franchi Cup, that the French could win this edition, with the Mexicans and Uruguayans potentially tough opponents

    1989: The final would probably have been Argentina vs Italy, like in the semi-final of the 1990 World Cup. The Netherlands a little behind. Very difficult to estimate a real winner.

    1993: Considering the slightly modified edition, it is possible that the victory would be between Germany and Argentina, with potentially the Germans having a slight advantage. Denmark, and USA at home would have been interesting to see

    1997: Also a big debate, I don't know if France a year before the World Cup could have won Brazil in this edition, which I see as the favorite. I think the Brazilians would probably have won the French in this edition.

    2001: If we include Italy in this edition, I don't know if it would have changed much, although Brazil was the favorite, France won the Confederations Cup, facing a Brazil sending its B team. we include Italy it could have made a good match, but I think the French dynamic was still better.

    2021-2022: Looking back to WC 2022, Argentina and France would clearly have been the two favorites for final victory. It would have been even closer because France would also have had Karim Benzema in great shape (Ballon d'Or 2022). Difficult to predict a winner given the good dynamics, although the French during the summer of 2022 did slightly less well, while the Argentinians exploded the Italians 3-0 in the Artemio Franchi Cup. Perhaps a narrow victory for the Argentines.

    Here is the list of winners for me:

    1933: Italy
    1937: Italy (2)
    1941: Argentina
    1953: Hungary
    1957: West Germany
    1961: Brazil
    1965: Brazil (2)
    1969: Italy (3)
    1973: West Germany (2)
    1977: Argentina (2)
    1981: West Germany (3)
    1985: France
    1989: Argentina/Italy (3/4)

    (1992: Argentina)
    1993: Germany (4)
    (1995: Denmark)
    1997: Brazil (3)
    (1999: Mexico)
    2001: France (2)
    (2003: France)
    2005: Brazil (4)
    2009: Brazil (5)
    2013: Brazil (6)
    2017: Germany (5)

    2021-2022: Argentina (4)

    Rankings:
    Brazil (6)
    Germany (5)
    Argentina (3,5)
    Italy (3,5)
    France (2)
    Hungary (1)

    What is your opinion guys?
     
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  4. TerjeC

    TerjeC Member

    None
    Norway
    Nov 19, 2023
    Norway
    Already decided:
    2005: Brazil
    2009: Brazil
    2013: Brazil
    2017: Germany

    My predicted winners:
    1933: Austria
    1937: Austria
    1941: England
    1953: Hungary
    1957: Argentina
    1961: Brazil
    1965: Brazil
    1969: England
    1973: Italy
    1977: West Germany
    1981: Argentina
    1985: France
    1989: Netherlands
    1993: Germany
    1997: Brazil
    2001: Italy (considering what team France actually sent to the tournament)
    2021: Argentina

    Rankings:
    Brazil (6)
    Argentina (3)
    (West 1+) Germany (2 = 3)
    England (2)
    Austria (2)
    Italy (2)
    Hungary (1)
    France (1)
    Netherlands (1)
     
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  5. TerjeC

    TerjeC Member

    None
    Norway
    Nov 19, 2023
    Norway
    I would have selected England as my predicted winner in 1933 and 1937, instead of Austria, if they were on your list of participating nations.

    Also Brazil instead of England in 1969, Netherlands instead of West Germany in 1977, Brazil instead of Argentina 1981, Brazil instead of France 1985, Brazil instead of Germany in 1993, and Argentina instead of Italy 2001.

    Brazil to win in 2017 I would also have predicted if they had actually participated. Probably the best team in world that year, and Germany sent an inexperienced team.

    Considering all this, my final list would be:
    1933: England
    1937: England

    1941: England
    1953: Hungary
    1957: Argentina
    1961: Brazil
    1965: Brazil
    1969: Brazil
    1973: Italy
    1977: Netherlands
    1981: Brazil
    1985: Brazil

    1989: Netherlands
    1993: Brazil
    1997: Brazil
    2001: Argentina
    (2017: Brazil)
    2021: Argentina

    Rankings:
    Brazil (11)
    Argentina (3)
    England (3)
    Netherlands (2)
    Hungary (1)
    Italy (1)
     
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  6. IceBlood34

    IceBlood34 Member

    Montpellier HSC
    France
    Jan 27, 2021
    Thank you for your analysis. I'd really like other people to be able to follow in your footsteps!
    Your second analyses are interesting, but the concept of the Confederations Cup is unfortunately not the same as having the "best" teams of the moment. It's clear that some teams miss out on certain editions, even though they're "at the moment" in the best shape, but that's the way it is, that's the Confederations Cup places system, which is why I think your first list is more in line with the subject, but thank you for your second suggestion.
    Could you explain more about your ideas for the first list?
    I saw that we had a few differences.
     
  7. TerjeC

    TerjeC Member

    None
    Norway
    Nov 19, 2023
    Norway
    Sure, I can start with pre WWII, and Austria 1933.

    Head to head:
    Italy-Austria 2-1, 1931 (first Italian win in 11th match between them).
    Austria-Italy 2-1, 1932.
    Italy-Austria 2-4, Feb. 1934.

    In summer 1933 Austria were, slightly, ahead of Italy on eloratings.net. Behind Argentina and England (England had, with a slightly understrength team, made a 1-1 draw away to Italy in May. Probably five or six of the players selected would have played if the opponent were Scotland).

    Argentina is ranked first, but football was quite clustered before WWII, and I think Argentina, Uruguay and Brazil is assigned too high starting scores, which affect the ranking.

    Austria were considered the best continental team around this time (2H 1931-1934), and was probably only the second non-british opponent/match England took really serious; England winning 4-3 at home in Dec. 1932.

    First was the 7-1 win home against Spain in Dec. 1931, after an understrength England had lost 3-4 away to Spain in 1929. It was England's first loss against a continental team and seen a bit of an embarrassment. Only the two defenders Cooper and Blenkinsop would probably have played if the opponent were Scotland.

    The third match for England was the 4-3 win against Italy at Highbury in Nov. 1934, after Italy now officially were the World Champions (though it wouldn't have happened without Mussolini and the government hand-picking referees that gave very favourable decisions for the hosts).

    It's possible to argue for a place for England in 1933. The British Home Championships were always one year/season and three matches played. But that makes it a bit flawed, since who plays home and not could decide the winner some years. Ideally everyone should have played each other both home and away. So maybe two BHCs combined should be used to decide the candidate. It would give England 1933, but still Wales 1937.

    Also, since there were no substitution, an injury could decide the outcome of matches (and the BHC). It happened to England against Wales in Feb. 1936 for example; Ted Drake having to leave the pitch just before half time with England leading 1-0 at home, it ended 2-1 to Wales after playing second half 11 against 10. Something similar happened in 1933 when Wales also won 2-1.
    -----------

    Moving on to 1937.
    Head to head:
    Italy-Austria 2-2, May 1936.
    Austria-Italy 2-0*, March 1937.

    Austria won two matches (2-1 away to France) and drew two (1-1 home to Scotland & 2-2 away to Hungary) in 1H 1937. Italy won three (2-0 home to Hungary, 1-0 away to Czechoslovakia and 3-1 away to Norway) and lost one (Austria).

    It would be quite open, hard to say what Argentina could have done here too. But looking at the two recent head to head matches between Austria and Italy, I would think Austria is most likely to win.
    ---------

    England 1941 results: 5 wins, one loss (started with a 2-3 loss to Scotland in Feb. 1941, won the rest; three against Wales & two against Scotland).
    https://www.rsssf.org/tablese/eng-warvic-intres.html

    Argentina won seven and drew two matches, but only played Uruguay once (1-0 home) and none against Brazil.

    Hard to know if Argentina would be able to beat England in 1941. South American and European teams not played against each other since World Cup 1930 that I can remember to have seen.

    I would think that the Argentinians had better technique in 1941, but England better organised, stronger/better trained and more effective playing style.

    Argentina first plays England in May 1951, losing 1-2 at Wembley.
     
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